Data for Figure 3.40 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 3.40 shows the observed and simulated Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV). --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has six panels. Files are not separated according to the panels. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- amv.obs.nc contains - Observed SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Observed AMV index time series (unfiltered) - Observed AMV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the observed AMV patterns amv.hist.cmip6.nc contains - Statistical significance of the observed SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Simulated AMV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated AMV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated AMV patterns based on CMIP6 historical simulations. amv.hist.cmip5.nc contains - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Simulated AMV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated AMV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated AMV patterns based on CMIP5 historical simulations. amv.piControl.cmip6.nc contains - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Simulated AMV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated AMV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated AMV patterns based on CMIP6 piControl simulations. amv.piControl.cmip5.nc contains - Simulated SST anomalies associated with the AMV pattern - Simulated AMV index time series (unfiltered) - Simulated AMV index time series (low-pass filtered) - Taylor statistics of the simulated AMV patterns based on CMIP5 piControl simulations. --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Panel a: - amv_pattern_obs_ref in amv.obs.nc: shading - amv_pattern_obs_signif (dataset = 1) in amv.obs.nc: cross markers Panel b: - Multimodel ensemble mean of amv_pattern in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: shading, with their sign agreement for hatching Panel c: - tay_stats (stat = 0, 1) in amv.obs.nc: black dots - tay_stats (stat = 0, 1) in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: red crosses, and their multimodel ensemble mean for the red dot - tay_stats (stat = 0, 1) in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue crosses, and their multimodel ensemble mean for the blue dot Panel d: - Lag-1 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in left . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-1 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the left - Lag-10 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries in amv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in right . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries in amv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries in amv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of lag-10 autocorrelation of amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the right Panel e: - Standard deviation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in left . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the left - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries_raw in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the left - Standard deviation of amv_timeseries in amv.obs.nc: black horizontal lines in right . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries in amv.piControl.cmip5.nc: blue open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries in amv.piControl.cmip6.nc: red open box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: blue filled box-whisker in the right - Multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles of standard deviation of amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: red filled box-whisker in the right Panel f: - amv_timeseries in amv.obs.nc: black curves . ERSSTv5: dataset = 1 . HadISST: dataset = 2 . COBE-SST2: dataset = 3 - amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip6.nc: 5th-95th percentiles in red shading, multimodel ensemble mean and its 5-95% confidence interval for red curves - amv_timeseries in amv.hist.cmip5.nc: 5th-95th percentiles in blue shading, multimodel ensemble mean for blue curve CMIP5 is the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. SST stands for Sea Surface Temperature. --------------------------------------------------- Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data --------------------------------------------------- Multimodel ensemble means and percentiles of historical simulations of CMIP5 and CMIP6 are calculated after weighting individual members with the inverse of the ensemble size of the same model. ensemble_assign in each file provides the model number to which each ensemble member belongs. This weighting does not apply to the sign agreement calculation. piControl simulations from CMIP5 and CMIP6 consist of a single member from each model, so the weighting is not applied. Multimodel ensemble means of the pattern correlation in Taylor statistics in (c) and the autocorrelation of the index in (d) are calculated via Fisher z-transformation and back transformation. --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1 - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website

Data for Figure 3.36 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 3.36 shows observed and simulated life cycle of El Niño and La Niña events. --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has four panels. All the data are provided in enso_lifecycle.nc file. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- This dataset contains - Composite time series of the ENSO index for El Niño events - Composite time series of the ENSO index for La Niña events - Mean duration of El Niño events - Mean duration of La Niña events in observations, CMIP5 historical-RCP4.5 and and CMIP6 historical simulations. --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Panel a: - ts_elnino_obs; black curves . ERSSTv5, dashed lines: dataset = 1 . HadISST, solid lines: dataset = 2 - ts_elnino_cmip5: The ENSO index time series in each ensemble member of CMIP5 models; blue curve and shading - ts_elnino_cmip6: The ENSO index time series in each ensemble member of CMIP6 models; red curve and shading Panel b: - ts_lanina_obs; black curves . ERSSTv5, dashed lines: dataset = 1 . HadISST, solid lines: dataset = 2 - ts_lanina_cmip5: The ENSO index time series in each ensemble member of CMIP5 models; blue curve and shading - ts_lanina_cmip6: The ENSO index time series in each ensemble member of CMIP6 models; red curve and shading Panel c: - duration_elnino_obs; black vertical lines and numbers in the top right box . ERSSTv5, dashed lines: dataset = 1 . HadISST, solid lines: dataset = 2 - duration_elnino_cmip5: El Nino duration in each ensemble member of CMIP5 models; blue box-whisker and number in the top right box - duration_elnino_cmip6; El Nino duration in each ensemble member of CMIP6 models; red dots, red box-whisker and number in the top right box . ACCESS-CM2: ens_cmip6 = 1 - 3 . ACCESS-ESM1-5: ens_cmip6 = 4 - 23 . AWI-CM-1-1-MR: ens_cmip6 = 24 - 28 . AWI-ESM-1-1-LR: ens_cmip6 = 29 . BCC-CSM2-MR: ens_cmip6 = 30 - 32 . BCC-ESM1: ens_cmip6 = 33 - 35 . CAMS-CSM1-0: ens_cmip6 = 36-38 . CanESM5-CanOE: ens_cmip6 = 39 - 41 . CanESM5: ens_cmip6 = 42 - 106 . CESM2-FV2: ens_cmip6 = 107 - 109 . CESM2: ens_cmip6 = 110 - 120 . CESM2-WACCM-FV2: ens_cmip6 = 121 - 123 . CESM2-WACCM: ens_cmip6 = 124 - 126 . CIESM: ens_cmip6 = 127 - 129 . CMCC-CM2-HR4: ens_cmip6 = 130 . CMCC-CM2-SR5: ens_cmip6 = 131 . CMCC-ESM2: ens_cmip6 = 132 . CNRM-CM6-1-HR: ens_cmip6 = 133 . CNRM-CM6-1: ens_cmip6 = 134 - 162 . CNRM-ESM2-1: ens_cmip6 = 163 - 172 . E3SM-1-0: ens_cmip6 = 173 - 177 . E3SM-1-1-ECA: ens_cmip6 = 178 . E3SM-1-1: ens_cmip6 = 179 . EC-Earth3-AerChem: ens_cmip6 = 180, 181 . EC-Earth3-CC: ens_cmip6 = 182 . EC-Earth3: ens_cmip6 = 183 - 204 . EC-Earth3-Veg-LR: ens_cmip6 = 205 - 207 . EC-Earth3-Veg: ens_cmip6 = 208 - 215 . FGOALS-f3-L: ens_cmip6 = 216 - 218 . FGOALS-g3: ens_cmip6 = 219 - 224 . FIO-ESM-2-0: ens_cmip6 = 225 - 227 . GFDL-CM4: ens_cmip6 = 228 . GFDL-ESM4: ens_cmip6 = 229 - 231 . GISS-E2-1-G-CC: ens_cmip6 = 232 . GISS-E2-1-G: ens_cmip6 = 233 - 278 . GISS-E2-1-H: ens_cmip6 = 279 - 302 . HadGEM3-GC31-LL: ens_cmip6 = 303 - 306 . HadGEM3-GC31-MM: ens_cmip6 = 307 - 310 . IITM-ESM: ens_cmip6 = 311 . INM-CM4-8: ens_cmip6 = 312 . INM-CM5-0: ens_cmip6 = 313 - 322 . IPSL-CM5A2-INCA: ens_cmip6 = 323 . IPSL-CM6A-LR: ens_cmip6 = 324 - 355 . KACE-1-0-G: ens_cmip6 = 356-358 . KIOST-ESM: ens_cmip6 = 359 . MCM-UA-1-0: ens_cmip6 = 360, 361 . MIROC6: ens_cmip6 = 362 - 411 . MIROC-ES2L: ens_cmip6 = 412 - 421 . MPI-ESM-1-2-HAM: ens_cmip6 = 422 - 424 . MPI-ESM1-2-HR: ens_cmip6 = 425 - 434 . MPI-ESM1-2-LR: ens_cmip6 = 435 -  444 . MRI-ESM2-0: ens_cmip6 = 445 - 450 . NESM3: ens_cmip6 = 451 - 455 . NorCPM1: ens_cmip6 = 456 - 485 . NorESM2-LM: ens_cmip6 = 486 - 488 . NorESM2-MM: ens_cmip6 = 489 - 490 . SAM0-UNICON: ens_cmip6 = 491 . TaiESM1: ens_cmip6 = 492 . UKESM1-0-LL: ens_cmip6 = 493 - 510 Panel d: - duration_lanina_obs; black vertical lines and numbers in the top right box . ERSSTv5, dashed lines: dataset = 1 . HadISST, solid lines: dataset = 2 - duration_lanina_cmip5; La Nina duration in each ensemble member of CMIP5 models; blue box-whisker and number in the top right box - duration_lanina_cmip6; La Nina duration in each ensemble member of CMIP6 models; red dots, red box-whisker and number in the top right box . ACCESS-CM2: ens_cmip6 = 1 - 3 . ACCESS-ESM1-5: ens_cmip6 = 4 - 23 . AWI-CM-1-1-MR: ens_cmip6 = 24 - 28 . AWI-ESM-1-1-LR: ens_cmip6 = 29 . BCC-CSM2-MR: ens_cmip6 = 30 - 32 . BCC-ESM1: ens_cmip6 = 33 - 35 . CAMS-CSM1-0: ens_cmip6 = 36-38 . CanESM5-CanOE: ens_cmip6 = 39 - 41 . CanESM5: ens_cmip6 = 42 - 106 . CESM2-FV2: ens_cmip6 = 107 - 109 . CESM2: ens_cmip6 = 110 - 120 . CESM2-WACCM-FV2: ens_cmip6 = 121 - 123 . CESM2-WACCM: ens_cmip6 = 124 - 126 . CIESM: ens_cmip6 = 127 - 129 . CMCC-CM2-HR4: ens_cmip6 = 130 . CMCC-CM2-SR5: ens_cmip6 = 131 . CMCC-ESM2: ens_cmip6 = 132 . CNRM-CM6-1-HR: ens_cmip6 = 133 . CNRM-CM6-1: ens_cmip6 = 134 - 162 . CNRM-ESM2-1: ens_cmip6 = 163 - 172 . E3SM-1-0: ens_cmip6 = 173 - 177 . E3SM-1-1-ECA: ens_cmip6 = 178 . E3SM-1-1: ens_cmip6 = 179 . EC-Earth3-AerChem: ens_cmip6 = 180, 181 . EC-Earth3-CC: ens_cmip6 = 182 . EC-Earth3: ens_cmip6 = 183 - 204 . EC-Earth3-Veg-LR: ens_cmip6 = 205 - 207 . EC-Earth3-Veg: ens_cmip6 = 208 - 215 . FGOALS-f3-L: ens_cmip6 = 216 - 218 . FGOALS-g3: ens_cmip6 = 219 - 224 . FIO-ESM-2-0: ens_cmip6 = 225 - 227 . GFDL-CM4: ens_cmip6 = 228 . GFDL-ESM4: ens_cmip6 = 229 - 231 . GISS-E2-1-G-CC: ens_cmip6 = 232 . GISS-E2-1-G: ens_cmip6 = 233 - 278 . GISS-E2-1-H: ens_cmip6 = 279 - 302 . HadGEM3-GC31-LL: ens_cmip6 = 303 - 306 . HadGEM3-GC31-MM: ens_cmip6 = 307 - 310 . IITM-ESM: ens_cmip6 = 311 . INM-CM4-8: ens_cmip6 = 312 . INM-CM5-0: ens_cmip6 = 313 - 322 . IPSL-CM5A2-INCA: ens_cmip6 = 323 . IPSL-CM6A-LR: ens_cmip6 = 324 - 355 . KACE-1-0-G: ens_cmip6 = 356-358 . KIOST-ESM: ens_cmip6 = 359 . MCM-UA-1-0: ens_cmip6 = 360, 361 . MIROC6: ens_cmip6 = 362 - 411 . MIROC-ES2L: ens_cmip6 = 412 - 421 . MPI-ESM-1-2-HAM: ens_cmip6 = 422 - 424 . MPI-ESM1-2-HR: ens_cmip6 = 425 - 434 . MPI-ESM1-2-LR: ens_cmip6 = 435 -  444 . MRI-ESM2-0: ens_cmip6 = 445 - 450 . NESM3: ens_cmip6 = 451 - 455 . NorCPM1: ens_cmip6 = 456 - 485 . NorESM2-LM: ens_cmip6 = 486 - 488 . NorESM2-MM: ens_cmip6 = 489 - 490 . SAM0-UNICON: ens_cmip6 = 491 . TaiESM1: ens_cmip6 = 492 . UKESM1-0-LL: ens_cmip6 = 493 - 510 Acronyms: ENSO - El Niño–Southern Oscillation, CMIP - Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, RCP - Representative Concentration Pathway, ERSST - Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature, HadISST - Hadley Centre Sea Ice and Sea Surface Temperature, ACCESS- CM2 – Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator coupled climate model, ACCESS- ESM – Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator Earth system model, AWI - Alfred Wegener Institute, BCC-CSM - Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model, CAMS - Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, CanOE - Canadian Ocean Ecosystem, CESM2 - Community Earth System Model, WACCM - Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, CIESM - Community Integrated Earth System Model, CNCC - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per I Cambiamenti Climatici, CNRM - Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, E3SM - Energy Exascale Earth System Model, FGOALS - Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model, FIO-ESM - First Institute of Oceanography Earth System Model, GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, GISS - Goddard Institute for Space Studies, IITM - Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, INM - Institute for Numerical Mathematics, IPSL - Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, KIOST-ESM - Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology Earth System, MIROC - Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate, MPI - Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, NESM - Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Earth System Model, NorCPM - Norwegian Climate Prediction Model, SAM0-UNICON - Seoul National University Atmosphere Model version 0 with a Unified Convection Scheme (SAM0-UNICON), TaiESM1 - Taiwan Earth System Model version 1, UKESM - The UK Earth System Modelling project. --------------------------------------------------- Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data --------------------------------------------------- Multimodel ensemble means and percentiles are calculated after weighting individual members with the inverse of the ensemble size of the same model. The weight is provided as the weight attribute of ens_cmip5 and ens_cmip6. If X(i) is the array, and w(i) the corresponding weight. - Mean shoud be suｍ_i(X(i) * w(i)) / sum_i(w(i)) - For percentile values, 1. Sort X and w so that X is in the ascending order 2. Accumulate w until i = j so that accumulated(w)/sum_i(w(i)) equals or exceeds the specified percentile level (e.g. 0.05) 3. Use X(j) or (X(j) + X(j - 1))/2 as the percentile value --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1 - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website

Data for Figure 3.35 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 3.35 shows Southern Annular Mode indices in the last millennium.   --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has two panels, and all the data are provided in sam_millennium.nc.   --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- This dataset contains: - Annual SAM reconstructions. - Annual-mean SAM index by CMIP5 and CMIP6 Last Millennium simulations extended by historical simulations. --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Panel a: - sam_abram_runmean, sam_datwyler_runmean: thin blue and brown lines - sam_abram_lowpass, sam_datwyler_lowpass: thick blue and brown lines Panel b: - sam_cmip_runmean: thin lines . MIROC-ES2L: ensemble = 10 (violet) . MRI-ESM2-0: ensemble = 11 (green) . CMIP5: ensemble = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 (grey) - sam_cmip_lowpass: thick lines . MIROC-ES2L: ensemble = 10 (violet) . MRI-ESM2-0: ensemble = 11 (green) . CMIP5: ensemble = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 (grey) --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1 - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website

Data for Figure 3.37 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 3.37 shows observed and simulated seasonality of ENSO. --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has two panels. All the data are provided in enso_seasonality.nc. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- This dataset contains - Climatological standard deviation of the ENSO index - A seasonality metric of the ENSO index in observations, CMIP5 historical-RCP4.5 and CMIP6 historical simulations. --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Panel a: - stdv_enso_obs; black curves . ERSSTv5, dashed lines: dataset = 1 . HadISST, solid lines: dataset = 2 - stdv_enso_cmip5: Climatological standard deviation of the ENSO index time series in each ensemble member of CMIP5 models blue curve and shading - stdv_enso_cmip6: Climatological standard deviation of the ENSO index time series in each ensemble member of CMIP6 models; red curve and shading . ACCESS-CM2: ens_cmip6 = 1 - 3 . ACCESS-ESM1-5: ens_cmip6 = 4 - 23 . AWI-CM-1-1-MR: ens_cmip6 = 24 - 28 . AWI-ESM-1-1-LR: ens_cmip6 = 29 . BCC-CSM2-MR: ens_cmip6 = 30 - 32 . BCC-ESM1: ens_cmip6 = 33 - 35 . CAMS-CSM1-0: ens_cmip6 = 36-38 . CanESM5-CanOE: ens_cmip6 = 39 - 41 . CanESM5: ens_cmip6 = 42 - 106 . CESM2-FV2: ens_cmip6 = 107 - 109 . CESM2: ens_cmip6 = 110 - 120 . CESM2-WACCM-FV2: ens_cmip6 = 121 - 123 . CESM2-WACCM: ens_cmip6 = 124 - 126 . CIESM: ens_cmip6 = 127 - 129 . CMCC-CM2-HR4: ens_cmip6 = 130 . CMCC-CM2-SR5: ens_cmip6 = 131 . CMCC-ESM2: ens_cmip6 = 132 . CNRM-CM6-1-HR: ens_cmip6 = 133 . CNRM-CM6-1: ens_cmip6 = 134 - 162 . CNRM-ESM2-1: ens_cmip6 = 163 - 172 . E3SM-1-0: ens_cmip6 = 173 - 177 . E3SM-1-1-ECA: ens_cmip6 = 178 . E3SM-1-1: ens_cmip6 = 179 . EC-Earth3-AerChem: ens_cmip6 = 180, 181 . EC-Earth3-CC: ens_cmip6 = 182 . EC-Earth3: ens_cmip6 = 183 - 204 . EC-Earth3-Veg-LR: ens_cmip6 = 205 - 207 . EC-Earth3-Veg: ens_cmip6 = 208 - 215 . FGOALS-f3-L: ens_cmip6 = 216 - 218 . FGOALS-g3: ens_cmip6 = 219 - 224 . FIO-ESM-2-0: ens_cmip6 = 225 - 227 . GFDL-CM4: ens_cmip6 = 228 . GFDL-ESM4: ens_cmip6 = 229 - 231 . GISS-E2-1-G-CC: ens_cmip6 = 232 . GISS-E2-1-G: ens_cmip6 = 233 - 278 . GISS-E2-1-H: ens_cmip6 = 279 - 302 . HadGEM3-GC31-LL: ens_cmip6 = 303 - 306 . HadGEM3-GC31-MM: ens_cmip6 = 307 - 310 . IITM-ESM: ens_cmip6 = 311 . INM-CM4-8: ens_cmip6 = 312 . INM-CM5-0: ens_cmip6 = 313 - 322 . IPSL-CM5A2-INCA: ens_cmip6 = 323 . IPSL-CM6A-LR: ens_cmip6 = 324 - 355 . KACE-1-0-G: ens_cmip6 = 356-358 . KIOST-ESM: ens_cmip6 = 359 . MCM-UA-1-0: ens_cmip6 = 360, 361 . MIROC6: ens_cmip6 = 362 - 411 . MIROC-ES2L: ens_cmip6 = 412 - 421 . MPI-ESM-1-2-HAM: ens_cmip6 = 422 - 424 . MPI-ESM1-2-HR: ens_cmip6 = 425 - 434 . MPI-ESM1-2-LR: ens_cmip6 = 435 -  444 . MRI-ESM2-0: ens_cmip6 = 445 - 450 . NESM3: ens_cmip6 = 451 - 455 . NorCPM1: ens_cmip6 = 456 - 485 . NorESM2-LM: ens_cmip6 = 486 - 488 . NorESM2-MM: ens_cmip6 = 489 - 490 . SAM0-UNICON: ens_cmip6 = 491 . TaiESM1: ens_cmip6 = 492 . UKESM1-0-LL: ens_cmip6 = 493 - 510 Panel b: - seasonality_enso_obs; black vertical lines and numbers in the top right box . ERSSTv5, dashed lines: dataset = 1 . HadISST, solid lines: dataset = 2 - seasonality_enso_cmip5; Seasonality metric in each ensemble member of CMIP5 models; blue box-whisker and number in the top right box - seasonality_enso_cmip6; Seasonality metric in each ensemble member of CMIP6 models; red dots, with their multimodal ensemble mean and percentiles for the red box-whisker and number in the top right box . ACCESS-CM2: ens_cmip6 = 1 - 3 . ACCESS-ESM1-5: ens_cmip6 = 4 - 23 . AWI-CM-1-1-MR: ens_cmip6 = 24 - 28 . AWI-ESM-1-1-LR: ens_cmip6 = 29 . BCC-CSM2-MR: ens_cmip6 = 30 - 32 . BCC-ESM1: ens_cmip6 = 33 - 35 . CAMS-CSM1-0: ens_cmip6 = 36-38 . CanESM5-CanOE: ens_cmip6 = 39 - 41 . CanESM5: ens_cmip6 = 42 - 106 . CESM2-FV2: ens_cmip6 = 107 - 109 . CESM2: ens_cmip6 = 110 - 120 . CESM2-WACCM-FV2: ens_cmip6 = 121 - 123 . CESM2-WACCM: ens_cmip6 = 124 - 126 . CIESM: ens_cmip6 = 127 - 129 . CMCC-CM2-HR4: ens_cmip6 = 130 . CMCC-CM2-SR5: ens_cmip6 = 131 . CMCC-ESM2: ens_cmip6 = 132 . CNRM-CM6-1-HR: ens_cmip6 = 133 . CNRM-CM6-1: ens_cmip6 = 134 - 162 . CNRM-ESM2-1: ens_cmip6 = 163 - 172 . E3SM-1-0: ens_cmip6 = 173 - 177 . E3SM-1-1-ECA: ens_cmip6 = 178 . E3SM-1-1: ens_cmip6 = 179 . EC-Earth3-AerChem: ens_cmip6 = 180, 181 . EC-Earth3-CC: ens_cmip6 = 182 . EC-Earth3: ens_cmip6 = 183 - 204 . EC-Earth3-Veg-LR: ens_cmip6 = 205 - 207 . EC-Earth3-Veg: ens_cmip6 = 208 - 215 . FGOALS-f3-L: ens_cmip6 = 216 - 218 . FGOALS-g3: ens_cmip6 = 219 - 224 . FIO-ESM-2-0: ens_cmip6 = 225 - 227 . GFDL-CM4: ens_cmip6 = 228 . GFDL-ESM4: ens_cmip6 = 229 - 231 . GISS-E2-1-G-CC: ens_cmip6 = 232 . GISS-E2-1-G: ens_cmip6 = 233 - 278 . GISS-E2-1-H: ens_cmip6 = 279 - 302 . HadGEM3-GC31-LL: ens_cmip6 = 303 - 306 . HadGEM3-GC31-MM: ens_cmip6 = 307 - 310 . IITM-ESM: ens_cmip6 = 311 . INM-CM4-8: ens_cmip6 = 312 . INM-CM5-0: ens_cmip6 = 313 - 322 . IPSL-CM5A2-INCA: ens_cmip6 = 323 . IPSL-CM6A-LR: ens_cmip6 = 324 - 355 . KACE-1-0-G: ens_cmip6 = 356-358 . KIOST-ESM: ens_cmip6 = 359 . MCM-UA-1-0: ens_cmip6 = 360, 361 . MIROC6: ens_cmip6 = 362 - 411 . MIROC-ES2L: ens_cmip6 = 412 - 421 . MPI-ESM-1-2-HAM: ens_cmip6 = 422 - 424 . MPI-ESM1-2-HR: ens_cmip6 = 425 - 434 . MPI-ESM1-2-LR: ens_cmip6 = 435 -  444 . MRI-ESM2-0: ens_cmip6 = 445 - 450 . NESM3: ens_cmip6 = 451 - 455 . NorCPM1: ens_cmip6 = 456 - 485 . NorESM2-LM: ens_cmip6 = 486 - 488 . NorESM2-MM: ens_cmip6 = 489 - 490 . SAM0-UNICON: ens_cmip6 = 491 . TaiESM1: ens_cmip6 = 492 . UKESM1-0-LL: ens_cmip6 = 493 - 510 Acronyms - ENSO - El Niño–Southern Oscillation, CMIP - Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, RCP - Representative Concentration Pathway, ERSST - Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature, HadISST - Hadley Centre Sea Ice and Sea Surface Temperature, ACCESS- CM2 – Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator coupled climate model, ACCESS- ESM – Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator Earth system model, AWI - Alfred Wegener Institute, BCC-CSM - Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model, CAMS - Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, CanOE - Canadian Ocean Ecosystem, CESM2 - Community Earth System Model, WACCM - Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, CIESM - Community Integrated Earth System Model, CNCC - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per I Cambiamenti Climatici, CNRM - Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, E3SM - Energy Exascale Earth System Model, FGOALS - Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model, FIO-ESM - First Institute of Oceanography Earth System Model, GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, GISS - Goddard Institute for Space Studies, IITM - Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, INM - Institute for Numerical Mathematics, IPSL - Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, KIOST-ESM - Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology Earth System, MIROC - Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate, MPI - Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, NESM - Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Earth System Model, NorCPM - Norwegian Climate Prediction Model, SAM0-UNICON - Seoul National University Atmosphere Model version 0 with a Unified Convection Scheme (SAM0-UNICON), TaiESM1 - Taiwan Earth System Model version 1, UKESM - The UK Earth System Modelling project. --------------------------------------------------- Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data --------------------------------------------------- Multimodel ensemble means and percentiles are calculated after weighting individual members with the inverse of the ensemble size of the same model. The weight is provided as the weight attribute of ens_cmip5 and ens_cmip6. If X(i) is the array, and w(i) the corresponding weight. - Mean shoud be suｍ_i(X(i) * w(i)) / sum_i(w(i)) - For percentile values, 1. Sort X and w so that X is in the ascending order 2. Accumulate w until i = j so that accumulated(w)/sum_i(w(i)) equals or exceeds the specified percentile level (e.g. 0.05) 3. Use X(j) or (X(j) + X(j - 1))/2 as the percentile value --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1 - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website

Data for Figure 3.33 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 3.33 shows observed and simulated Northern Annular Mode (NAM), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Southern Annular Mode (SAM) in boreal winter. --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has twelve panels, with data provided for panels (a), (d), (g) and (j) in the subdirectory named panel_adgj, panels (b), (e), (h) and (k) in the subdirectory named panel_behk, and panels (c), (f), (i) and (l) in the subdirectory named panel_cfil.   --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- This dataset contains:  - Observed sea level pressure anomalies associated with NAM. - Observed sea level pressure anomalies associated with NAO. - Observed sea level pressure anomalies associated with SAM. - Simulated sea level pressure anomalies associated with NAM. - Simulated sea level pressure anomalies associated with NAO. - Simulated sea level pressure anomalies associated with SAM. - Taylor statistics of sea level pressure anomalies associated with NAM. - Taylor statistics of sea level pressure anomalies associated with NAO. - Taylor statistics of sea level pressure anomalies associated with SAM. - 1958-2014 trends of the NAM index. - 1958-2014 trends of the NAO index. - 1979-2014 trends of the SAM index. --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Panel a: - nam_patterns(0, :, :) in panel_adgj/nam.obs.nc; shading - nam_pattern_significance in panel_adgj/nam.obs.nc; cross marker Panel b: - nao_patterns(0, :, :) in panel_behk/nao.obs.nc; shading - nao_pattern_significance in panel_behk/nao.obs.nc; cross marker Panel c: - sam_patterns(0, :, :) in panel_cfil/sam.obs.nc; shading - sam_pattern_significance in panel_cfil/sam.obs.nc; cross marker Panel d: - nam_patterns in panel_adgj/nam.hist.cmip6.nc; multimodel ensemble mean for shading, and sign agreement for hatching Panel e: - nao_patterns in panel_behk/nao.hist.cmip6.nc; multimodel ensemble mean for shading, and sign agreement for hatching Panel f: - sam_patterns in panel_cfil/sam.hist.cmip6.nc; multimodel ensemble mean for shading, and sign agreement for hatching Panel g: - nam_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_adgj/nam.amip.cmip6.nc: multimodel ensemble mean for the orange dot - nam_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_adgj/nam.hist.cmip5.nc: blue crosses, with multimodel ensemble mean for the blue dot - nam_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_adgj/nam.hist.cmip6.nc: red crosses, with multimodel ensemble mean for the red dot - nam_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_adgj/nam.obs.nc: black dots Panel h: - nao_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_behk/nao.amip.cmip6.nc: multimodel ensemble mean for the orange dot - nao_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_behk/nao.hist.cmip5.nc: blue crosses, with multimodel ensemble mean for the blue dot - nao_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_behk/nao.hist.cmip6.nc: red crosses, with multimodel ensemble mean for the red dot - nao_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_behk/nao.obs.nc: black dots Panel i: - sam_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_cfil/sam.amip.cmip6.nc: multimodel ensemble mean for the orange dot - sam_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_cfil/sam.hist.cmip5.nc: blue crosses, with multimodel ensemble mean for the blue dot - sam_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_cfil/sam.hist.cmip6.nc: red crosses, with multimodel ensemble mean for the red dot - sam_tay_stat(:, 0:1) in panel_cfil/sam.obs.nc: black dots Panel j: - nam_pc_trends in panel_adgj/nam.amip.cmip6.nc: multimodel ensemble mean for orange vertical line - nam_pc_trends in panel_adgj/nam.hist.cmip5.nc: multimodel ensemble mean for blue vertical line - nam_pc_trends in panel_adgj/nam.hist.cmip6.nc: histogram, with multimodel ensemble mean for red vertical line - nam_pc_trends in panel_adgj/nam.obs.nc: black vertical lines Panel k: - nao_pc_trends in panel_behk/nao.amip.cmip6.nc: multimodel ensemble mean for orange vertical line - nao_pc_trends in panel_behk/nao.hist.cmip5.nc: multimodel ensemble mean for blue vertical line - nao_pc_trends in panel_behk/nao.hist.cmip6.nc: histogram, with multimodel ensemble mean for red vertical line - nao_pc_trends in panel_behk/nao.obs.nc: black vertical lines Panel l: - sam_pc_trends in panel_cfil/sam.amip.cmip6.nc: multimodel ensemble mean for orange vertical line - sam_pc_trends in panel_cfil/sam.hist.cmip5.nc: multimodel ensemble mean for blue vertical line - sam_pc_trends in panel_cfil/sam.hist.cmip6.nc: histogram, with multimodel ensemble mean for red vertical line - sam_pc_trends in panel_cfil/sam.obs.nc: black vertical lines --------------------------------------------------- Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data --------------------------------------------------- Multimodel ensemble means and histograms are obtained after weighting individual members with the inverse of the ensemble size of the same model. ensemble_assign in each file provides the model number to which each ensemble member belongs. This weighting does not apply to the sign agreement calculation. Multimodel ensemble mean of the pattern correlation in Taylor statistics is calculated via Fisher z-transformation and back transformation. --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains supporting information on the figure in Section and details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1 - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website

Data for Figure 3.34 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 3.34 shows attribution of observed seasonal trends in the annular modes to forcings.   --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has 3 panels, and all the data are provided in a single file named NAM_SAM_detection_attribution.nc. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- This dataset contains - Observed and simulated DJF NAM trends for 1958-2019 - Observed and simulated JJA NAM trends for 1958-2019 - Observed and simulated DJF SAM trends for 1979-2019 - Observed and simulated JJA SAM trends for 1979-2019 - Observed and simulated DJF SAM trends for 2000-2019 - Observed and simulated JJA SAM trends for 2000-2019 Simulations are from CMIP6 historical, hist-GHG, hist-aer, hist-nat, and hist-stratO3 simulations, and from equivalent time segments from CMIP6 piControl simulations (one segment from one model). NAM: Northern Annular Mode ​​​ SAM: Southern Annular Mode GHG: greenhouse gas JJA: June, July, August DJF: December, January, February --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Panel a: - NAM_obs_DJF_1958_2019: grey horizontal lines in the left -->ERA5: obs_dataset = 0\n -->JRA-55: obs_dataset = 1\n - NAM_piControl_DJF_62yrs: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for blue open box-whisker in the left - NAM_hist_DJF_1958_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for red open box-whisker in the left, and multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for red filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - NAM_GHG_DJF_1958_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for brown filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - NAM_aer_DJF_1958_2019:  multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for light blue filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - NAM_stratO3_DJF_1958_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for purple filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - NAM_nat_DJF_1958_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for green filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - NAM_obs_JJA_1958_2019: grey horizontal lines in the right -->ERA5: obs_dataset = 0\n -->JRA-55: obs_dataset = 1\n - NAM_piControl_JJA_62yrs: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for blue open box-whisker in the right - NAM_hist_JJA_1958_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for red open box-whisker in the right, and multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for red filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - NAM_GHG_JJA_1958_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for brown filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - NAM_aer_JJA_1958_2019:  multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for light blue filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - NAM_stratO3_JJA_1958_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for purple filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - NAM_nat_JJA_1958_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for green filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right Panel b: - SAM_obs_DJF_1979_2019: grey horizontal lines in the left -->ERA5: obs_dataset = 0\n -->JRA-55: obs_dataset = 1\n - SAM_piControl_DJF_41yrs: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for blue open box-whisker in the left - SAM_hist_DJF_1979_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for red open box-whisker in the left, and multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for red filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - SAM_GHG_DJF_1979_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for brown filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - SAM_aer_DJF_1979_2019:  multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for light blue filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - SAM_stratO3_DJF_1979_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for purple filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - SAM_nat_DJF_1979_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for green filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - SAM_obs_JJA_1979_2019: grey horizontal lines in the right -->ERA5: obs_dataset = 0\n -->JRA-55: obs_dataset = 1\n - SAM_piControl_JJA_41yrs: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for blue open box-whisker in the right - SAM_hist_JJA_1979_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for red open box-whisker in the right, and multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for red filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - SAM_GHG_JJA_1979_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for brown filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - SAM_aer_JJA_1979_2019:  multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for light blue filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - SAM_stratO3_JJA_1979_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for purple filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - SAM_nat_JJA_1979_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for green filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right Panel c: - SAM_obs_DJF_2000_2019: grey horizontal lines in the left -->ERA5: obs_dataset = 0\n -->JRA-55: obs_dataset = 1\n - SAM_piControl_DJF_20yrs: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for blue open box-whisker in the left - SAM_hist_DJF_2000_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for red open box-whisker in the left, and multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for red filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - SAM_GHG_DJF_2000_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for brown filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - SAM_aer_DJF_2000_2019:  multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for light blue filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - SAM_stratO3_DJF_2000_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for purple filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - SAM_nat_DJF_2000_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for green filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the left - SAM_obs_JJA_2000_2019: grey horizontal lines in the right -->ERA5: obs_dataset = 0\n -->JRA-55: obs_dataset = 1\n - SAM_piControl_JJA_20yrs: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for blue open box-whisker in the right - SAM_hist_JJA_2000_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and percentiles for red open box-whisker in the right, and multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for red filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - SAM_GHG_JJA_2000_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for brown filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - SAM_aer_JJA_2000_2019:  multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for light blue filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - SAM_stratO3_JJA_2000_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for purple filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right - SAM_nat_JJA_2000_2019: multimodel ensemble mean and confidence interval for green filled box, with ensemble means of individual models for black dots, in the right --------------------------------------------------- Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data --------------------------------------------------- Multimodel ensemble means, interquartile ranges and 5th and 95th percentiles of historical and hist-* simulations are calculated after weighting individual members with the inverse of the ensemble size of the same model. The weight is given as the weight attribute of each variable. The weighting is not applied to piControl simulations. Filled boxes and black dots are evaluated based on the models with minimum 3 ensemble members. ensemble_assign attribute in each variable provides the model number to which each ensemble member belongs. For the confidence interval, first the ensemble average of individual models (with minimum 3 ensemble members) are calculated and then the confidence interval is evaluated based on t statistic. --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains supporting information on the figure in Section and details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1 - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website